Tesla's Cumulative Decline Reaches 25%

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Tesla, the electric vehicle giant, has seen its market value plummet below the one trillion dollar mark during trading, marking the lowest point since November 2023. When the dust settled at a closing price of $187.34 per share, Tesla's valuation evaporated by over $600 billion from its all-time highThis staggering loss equates to the combined market capitalization of a General Motors and a BoeingThe impact of this drop is profound, wiping over a hundred billion dollars from Elon Musk's net worth and sending shockwaves throughout the global capital markets.

The decline in Tesla's stock has been attributed to a seemingly innocuous user review, which highlighted a staggering 37% error rate in the company’s recently launched "City Navigation" featureAt nighttime, the misjudgment rate soared to an alarming 52%. MrWang, a car owner from Beijing, shared in an interview, "The promised full autonomous driving can’t even handle a left turn at a complex intersection." This dramatic disparity between expectation and reality is eroding Tesla's core technological moat.

Beneath this technological controversy lies an arms race in the field of autonomous driving

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Competitors like BYD have developed the "Tian Shen Eye" system, which has successfully implemented city navigation assistanceMeanwhile, Xiaomi’s SU7 is equipped with the "Pine Cone Intelligent Driving" system, which claims to tackle 95% of complex traffic scenariosNotably, Chinese automakers are investing 1.8 times more than Tesla in smart driving R&D, fundamentally altering the competitive landscape.


Tesla’s latest financial report revealed an 8% year-over-year decline in automotive revenue, unearthing the harsh realities of a price warIn response to slipping market share, the starting price of the Model 3 in China has decreased to 189,900 yuan, a staggering drop of 28% since the beginning of 2023. However, this strategy of "exchanging price for volume" is seeing diminishing returns; data from the California New Car Dealers Association notes that Tesla’s sales in its home market have declined for three consecutive quarters, with a 11.6% drop in the fourth quarter alone.

On the global stage, Tesla is losing its pricing powerFor example, the Model Y is now priced lower than Volkswagen's ID.4 in the German market, while French consumers can enjoy greater government subsidies when purchasing the Renault Megane E-TechThis trend towards "affordable luxury branding" has prompted warnings from Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, stating that "Tesla is becoming the Dell of the automotive industry – winning through price competition rather than innovation."

Compounding these challenges, Musk’s controversial statements have spurred consumer backlash

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Research firm YouGov highlights a growing divide tearing at Tesla’s core customer base.


Adding to the dilemma are U.S. tariffs, which are severely impacting Tesla's global strategyThe 25% tariff on imported components from China has raised the single vehicle cost from the Shanghai Gigafactory by $3,200. Meanwhile, the 15% "border adjustment tax" on fully assembled vehicles from Mexico threatens the production plans of Tesla's new Texas factoryThis "America First" trade policy is putting immense pressure on Tesla's meticulously crafted global supply chain.

In the European market, the challenges are even more pronouncedRegistration data from February revealed that Tesla’s market share shrank from 12.7% in 2023 to just 9.3%, falling behind the Volkswagen GroupMore alarmingly, the EU’s impending carbon tax policy is expected to hike Tesla’s prices in Europe by 8%-12%. Such a "double whammy" has compelled Tesla to hit the pause button on its global expansion strategy.

The fourth quarter of 2023 unearthed deeper crises: automotive gross margins dropped to 18.2%, marking a three-year low; R&D investment decreased by 7%, while competitors like NIO are investing at a staggering 28% growth rateThis transition towards "heavy marketing and light R&D" is causing Tesla to lag in next-generation technologies such as solid-state batteries and hydrogen fuelPanasonic Energy executives have noted that Tesla’s production delays for its 4680 batteries have now reached 14 months.

The deterioration of cash flow is equally alarming

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